Ultimately, that should lead to Buffalo building an early lead in front of a raucous crowd in Orchard Park, which will force the Patriots to lean more on Bailey Zappe in a trailing game state. As a result, Allen might be unleashed through the air against a Patriots defense that ranks second against the run but 17th against the pass (according to DVOA). I've really liked what I've seen from new offensive coordinator Joe Brady, who has remained flexible on a week-to-week basis depending on the matchup. I think they do that here against a bad Patriots squad that has a number of key injuries along the offensive line, at a number of skill positions and across the entire back end of their defense.

Historically speaking, during the Josh Allen tenure, when the Bills win, they win big. This now sets up as a refocus spot at home, with an extra day of rest and preparation against a division rival they already lost to earlier in the season. I believe that had more to do with a horrible spot on a short week headed out west against a rested Chargers team that got embarrassed and made a coaching change. I've been fortunate enough to hit all 11 sides in Bills games I've bet this season, so hopefully I can stretch that streak to 12 in a spot I had circled after last weekend's lackadaisical effort in Los Angeles.

Cbs ports bets against the spread